Re: The American 2016 Presidential Elections & The Ongoing American Saga
Reply #1611 –
Nate is pretty savvy. He says, "One needs to be careful about drawing too many inferences from early-voting data. There are a lot of states to look at and a lot of ways to run the numbers, and we've seen smart analysts trick themselves into drawing conclusions that didn't necessarily hold up well by Election Day."
Two things to note, Sang:
I don't consider you a "smart analyst"
I said "early voting favors Democrats" , which is a simplification of what Nate said. You always seem to forget which of us studied and applied this type of research which a great deal of success.
And your prejudices and predilections don't allow you to be careful with your predictions.
Too bad my predications are almost always right
The major networks touted "exit polls" and then, when the official tallies came in, were aghast!
Why is that you're so partisan that you confuse exit polls with votes already cast and counted? Of course, those numbers cited above don't mean Hillary will win Nevada by those margins but it does show things don't look too good for him here.