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Topic: What's Going on in Europe (Read 257376 times)



Re: What's Going on in Europe

Reply #403
Humvees falling from the sky in Hohenfels (Bavaria, Germany)

[video]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4HvaOZ3EN1Q[/video]

Re: What's Going on in Europe

Reply #404
Reminds me of the last Fast & Furious movie. :P


Re: What's Going on in Europe

Reply #406
Sure, but are there more vacant houses than homeless people?
According to the CBS (Central Bureau of Statistics), the Netherlands has approximately 7,5 million homes. On 1 juli 2013, 408 thousand of those were vacant, or 5,5% of all homes (p. 13 of linked PDF). In 2013 the number of homeless people was estimated to be about 25,000, while now that number is estimated to have risen to 30,000. This is all fairly similar in Germany, the US, and all other affluent nations. The only difference is that in the Netherlands living spaces are a lot more expensive than in Germany, so the homes themselves tend to be smaller and are more likely to be apartments rather than free-standing houses.

On vacant homes: https://www.cbs.nl/nl-nl/achtergrond/2014/21/leegstaande-woningen
On homeless people: https://www.cbs.nl/nl-nl/nieuws/2016/09/aantal-daklozen-in-zes-jaar-met-driekwart-toegenomen

Re: What's Going on in Europe

Reply #407
Sure, but are there more vacant houses than homeless people?
According to the CBS (Central Bureau of Statistics), the Netherlands has approximately 7,5 million homes. On 1 juli 2013, 408 thousand of those were vacant, or 5,5% of all homes (p. 13 of linked PDF). In 2013 the number of homeless people was estimated to be about 25,000, while now that number is estimated to have risen to 30,000.
So, if I'm counting right, there are considerably more vacant homes than there are homeless people? This is what I call a problem solved. The only thing left to do is to administer the solution.

Re: What's Going on in Europe

Reply #408
Well, that number is somewhat misleading. At least a third will be inhabited again within half a year up to about half within a year. More interesting is the long-lasting vacancy, meaning more than 1.5 years, that number being either 188 921 or 175 552 (excluding vacation homes).

20% of homes is from before 1940, but 35% of vacant homes is. Probably because they're just awful in matters like insulation and wiring. On the flipside, it might be that since many of these pre-1940 homes are in cities, it's possible that they are already being squatted in by the (semi-)homeless. The statistics on the homeless don't say whether they include squatters.

65,000 long-lasting vacant homes are privately owned, while 91,000 are rental homes. The unregistered squatting population would be primarily located within those rental homes.

In any case, it's obvious that within the EU, any homelessness and foodlessness is economic, political or by choice.

Re: What's Going on in Europe

Reply #409
In any case, it's obvious that within the EU, any homelessness and foodlessness is economic, political or by choice.
Nope. The reason is ethics, better saying the lack of ethics.
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24% of all the EU population (over 120 million people), are at risk of poverty or social exclusion – this includes 27% of all children in Europe, 20.5% of those over 65, and 9% of those with a job

Close to 9% of all Europeans live in severe material deprivation - they do not have the resources to own a washing machine, a car, a telephone, to heat their homes or face unexpected expenses

17% of Europeans live on less than 60% of their country's average household income

10% of Europeans live in households where no one has a job

There is a wide gap in performance between the welfare systems in different EU countries - the best reduced the risk of poverty by 60%, the least effective by less than 15% (EU average 35%)

12 million more women than men are living in poverty in the EU

Specific populations such as the Roma are especially challenged: two-thirds are unemployed, one in two children attends kindergarten and only 15% complete secondary school.

The above numbers are a simple average. In fact, pheripheric countries for example have much higher numbers.
A matter of attitude.

Re: What's Going on in Europe

Reply #410
Well, that number is somewhat misleading. At least a third will be inhabited again within half a year up to about half within a year. More interesting is the long-lasting vacancy, meaning more than 1.5 years, that number being either 188 921 or 175 552 (excluding vacation homes).
Naturally, by "vacant" I did not mean "empty until the family gets back from work and school".

Most interesting would be abandoned houses that are not yet decrepit. But nobody keeps statistics like that. Abandoned houses would be good enough.

The statistics on the homeless don't say whether they include squatters.
Nobody keeps statistics like this either. Nor should.

In my view, squatters have a home, so they are not homeless. Occupying abandoned houses should be legal. And statistics works better when definitions are kept sane.

In any case, it's obvious that within the EU, any homelessness and foodlessness is economic, political or by choice.
What is different about homelessness and foodlessness in the rest of the world?

 

Re: What's Going on in Europe

Reply #411
Nope. The reason is ethics, better saying the lack of ethics.
You're always saying things like "nope" when there's no disagreement. :P

Quote
10% of Europeans live in households where no one has a job
Most jobs will soon be automated away out of existence. Things'll either get a lot better or a lot worse. I'm an optimist.  :yes:

Naturally, by "vacant" I did not mean "empty until the family gets back from work and school".
And that's not what vacant means… inhabited again within six months means by different inhabitants. Like when you move and your old house hasn't sold yet. Or when it sold and the new owners haven't moved in yet. Or it might be an unlucky house and not have new tenants within six months.

In my view, squatters have a home, so they are not homeless. Occupying abandoned houses should be legal. And statistics works better when definitions are kept sane.
It used to be legal to live in a house that had been vacant for more than 12 months. One of our ethical, compassionate Christian governments undid that.[1]

What is different about homelessness and foodlessness in the rest of the world?
Maybe nothing, but if so then what's development aid for?
They're always throwing words like ethics and compassion around, but to this day I have no idea what they think those words mean.

Re: What's Going on in Europe

Reply #412
And that's not what vacant means… inhabited again within six months means by different inhabitants. Like when you move and your old house hasn't sold yet. Or when it sold and the new owners haven't moved in yet. Or it might be an unlucky house and not have new tenants within six months.
We've been using the wrong word all along. I always meant abandoned (and so did you, because you could not have been suggesting a connection between homeless people and houses that are empty merely for the time being). Summer houses and houses being sold don't quite qualify.

It used to be legal to live in a house that had been vacant for more than 12 months. One of our ethical, compassionate Christian governments undid that.
You mean Balkenende, the Christian Democrat? According to Wikipedia, the main force driving the squatting ban was VVD. This is not absolving Christian Democrats, but it shows that they were perhaps doing it more out of neglect than out of (com)passion.

What is different about homelessness and foodlessness in the rest of the world?
Maybe nothing, but if so then what's development aid for?
Development aid (under different names) is distributed also within EU, not only to the outside world. The richest countries like Sweden and Finland get it a lot, as they keep so many asylums for immigrants. I used to collect free bread labelled "EU aid" myself when I was a student in Helsinki.

Anyway, you said that "it's obvious that within the EU, any homelessness and foodlessness is economic, political or by choice," as if this were somehow specific to EU and that the nature of homelessness and foodlessness were different elsewhere. And now you imply that development aid is to deal specifically with the kind of homelessness and foodlessness found elsewhere in the world.

No. Development aid is to deal with any kind of homelessness and foodlessness wherever found. And the EU is giving development aid to the Third World due to the fact that the EU is comparatively wealthier than the Third World. It would be silly to expect development aid in the opposite direction. We are not giving development aid because there are some strange forms of homelessness and foodlessness out there, but just because there's homelessness and foodlessness.

Re: What's Going on in Europe

Reply #413
We've been using the wrong word all along. I always meant abandoned (and so did you, because you could not have been suggesting a connection between homeless people and houses that are empty merely for the time being). Summer houses and houses being sold don't quite qualify.
An abandoned house is not a vacant house. It is no longer cared for by anyone, which will inevitably lead to it falling into disrepair. I could have a vacant second house for decades yet never abandon it. The reason owners are opposed to squatters in their vacant property is precisely because they haven't abandoned said property. Although back in the '60s there were property owners who let their property become decrepit even though they claimed they hadn't abandoned it. They're obviously full of it.

You mean Balkenende, the Christian Democrat? According to Wikipedia, the main force driving the squatting ban was VVD. This is not absolving Christian Democrats, but it shows that they were perhaps doing it more out of neglect than out of (com)passion.
Huh? I meant Van Agt back in the late '70s or early '80s. I don't recall off the top of my head whether it was in his first coalition with the VVD or his later one with the PvdA. Wikipedia fails to mention it, but until then it was explicitly legal after 12 months of vacancy. The 2010 stuff is about criminalizing it, which is worse for squatters but it's more about punishment than legality.

Also, the Wikipedia article is complete and utter bullshit. The criminalization was proposed by the coalition government consisting of CDA (Christians), PvdA (Labor, i.e. socialists), and ChristenUnie (Christian socialists), not VVD (liberals). See e.g. http://www.nu.nl/algemeen/2073495/kabinet-werkt-aan-kraakverbod.html NB I'm not saying VVD was opposed to it — they weren't — but they were not the driving force. I've seldom seen such clearly pronounced Christian-socialist hypocritical blame-shifting.

Anyway, you said that "it's obvious that within the EU, any homelessness and foodlessness is economic, political or by choice," as if this were somehow specific to EU and that the nature of homelessness and foodlessness were different elsewhere. And now you imply that development aid is to deal specifically with the kind of homelessness and foodlessness found elsewhere in the world.
No, I imply that the EU is rich and has plenty of resources to spare for all kinds of things all by itself. The same applies to other affluent nations like the US, but it may not apply to countries Haiti or Bangladesh.

Re: What's Going on in Europe

Reply #414
An abandoned house is not a vacant house. It is no longer cared for by anyone, which will inevitably lead to it falling into disrepair.
Over time, yes, but a house abandoned for a year may still be easily fixed.

I could have a vacant second house for decades yet never abandon it.
But how is it vacant if you keep returning to it to keep up the repairs? Gotcha :D

The reason owners are opposed to squatters in their vacant property is precisely because they haven't abandoned said property.
English is just stoopid. Maybe "idle property" is the term we are looking for? Because, you know, we are aiming at the same point, but pointlessly arguing over word choice.

Huh? I meant Van Agt back in the late '70s or early '80s. I don't recall off the top of my head whether it was in his first coalition with the VVD or his later one with the PvdA. Wikipedia fails to mention it, but until then it was explicitly legal after 12 months of vacancy. The 2010 stuff is about criminalizing it, which is worse for squatters but it's more about punishment than legality.

Also, the Wikipedia article is complete and utter bullshit. The criminalization was proposed by the coalition government consisting of CDA (Christians), PvdA (Labor, i.e. socialists), and ChristenUnie (Christian socialists), not VVD (liberals). See e.g. http://www.nu.nl/algemeen/2073495/kabinet-werkt-aan-kraakverbod.html NB I'm not saying VVD was opposed to it — they weren't — but they were not the driving force. I've seldom seen such clearly pronounced Christian-socialist hypocritical blame-shifting.
Okay. I believe you. The closest reference in Wikipedia I eventually found says this:

Quote from: Dutch squatting ban, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dutch_squatting_ban
In June 2006, ministers Sybilla Dekker and Piet Hein Donner from the Dutch government proposed a plan to criminalise squatting.
Sybilla Dekker is VVD. Piet Hein Donner is CDA.

No, I imply that the EU is rich and has plenty of resources to spare for all kinds of things all by itself. The same applies to other affluent nations like the US, but it may not apply to countries Haiti or Bangladesh.
Okay. Let's say that this is what you meant by "..."it's obvious that within the EU, any homelessness and foodlessness is economic, political or by choice." What adjectives would you use to describe homelessness and foodlessness in Haiti or Bangladesh?

Re: What's Going on in Europe

Reply #415
Sybilla Dekker is VVD. Piet Hein Donner is CDA.
Hm, that proposal is not part of my active recollection. I don't know how similar that proposal was to the one that was eventually ratified by both houses. I suppose it's conceivable that the government proposal (put forward by a PvdA minister) that eventually went through the houses has roots that go back further. But the complete and utter bullshit I was referring to was this passage from that same article:

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Several parties, notably the VVD party, were vocal critics of squatting. Backed by the leader of the PVV, Geert Wilders they moved to outlaw squatting.[7] The new squatting ban was passed by the House of Representatives on 15 October 2009 and the Senate on 1 June 2010, and became law on 1 October 2010. The penalty is one year's imprisonment, or more if violence is involved.[8] The mayor of Amsterdam, Eberhard van der Laan, and police commissioner Leen Schaap stated their intention to clear roughly 200 of 300 squats in Amsterdam, and to treat squatting as a criminal offence.[6][9][10]

Note how it says "notably the VVD" and that it insinuates a coalition involving the VVD was responsible. But I just noticed that what I said was already pointed out on the talk page:

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A government which took power on 14 October 2010 could hardly have passed a squatting ban which was passed into law on 1 October 2010 and had been agreed upon by both the Dutch House of Representatives on 15 October 2009 as well as the Dutch Senate on 1 June 2010. This article seems to have been created by squatters or proponents of squatting and thus has a severe NPOV issue. SpeakFree (talk) 12:04, 16 October 2010 (UTC)

Perhaps the article read slightly different back then, because to me it reads like it was created by leftists. A Dutch person might say that's practically the same thing as squatting proponents anyway, but my point is that a PvdA minister (or his staff) wrote and submitted the proposal. The VVD merely voted in favor. Surely writing and submitting a proposal is more "notable" than voting in favor of it? Or did the VVD somehow force him to do it? Now that would be notable. :P

Okay. Let's say that this is what you meant by "..."it's obvious that within the EU, any homelessness and foodlessness is economic, political or by choice." What adjectives would you use to describe homelessness and foodlessness in Haiti or Bangladesh?
Presumably not a simple matter of internal politics?

Re: What's Going on in Europe

Reply #416
In a functioning welfare state, which I assume includes at least the Netherlands, poor economy alone shouldn't be cause for homelessness.  If necessary the destitute person or family will get moderate, but sufficient support for paying the rent and other basic costs. Homelessness would be a result of alcoholism, drug abuse, mental problems. They too could get lodging, the problem is that those places tend to be full of alcoholics, drug abusers and people with mental problems.

These days we get more homelessness due to transnational migration. Whether the immigrants have the right to immigrate (i.e. EU citizens, or with residency) or not, the state isn't obliged to provide shelter.

A few countries are now experience a shortage of homes. That is definitely the case with Sweden, definitely Norway. Sweden had a deep financial crisis around 1990, a milder one around 2008. With a partial exception for these periods the Stockholm region has always been stressed, more people want to live there than there is housing, but other parts of the country has had the opposite problem, more housing than people, often with falling population, particularly rural counties, and the relatively deprived counties in the north and bordering Norway. The areas near Norway tried to attract Norwegian pensioners, others chose a Detroit-like solution, demolishing or exporting empty buildings.

Basically if you couldn't get a place to live in Stockholm or other attractive cities, you found one in a neighbouring county. Now there is a perfect storm, with a modest domestic population increase, prolonged immigration from within and outside the EU, a booming economy, particularly the Stockholm region, and lately a great upsurge of asylum seekers. Now not only Stockholm, but almost the whole country is at danger of running out of housing, as this graph shows:



For those that don't read Swedish, kommun = county/municipality, there is a total of 290 in Sweden. Red ("Underskott") = shortage of housing; yellow ("I balans") = in balance; green ("Överskott") = surplus. Five years ago, in 2011, 126 municipalities had housing shortages, less than half the total, mostly in or around major cities. Now 250 out of 290 municipalities face shortages.

The obvious solution is to build more housing, which is going to happen, but building housing fast is not among Sweden's strengths. First you need to produce overall plans, then detailed plans, then everyone can have their say, then final plans, then somebody unhappy with those plans, and there will always be at least one, can complain to a special court, and so on. It takes about a year to construct a building, it can take a decade to get to that point. Eventually there will be sufficient housing, but nobody believes it will take less than a decade to get there (unless there were a serious crisis and emigration sky-rocketed, but even a 1990-style crash would not be sufficient for that).

Thus Sweden might see homelessness for a very unusual reason: a lack of homes. It's unlikely though, if fewer units are built, more will live in each unit.

Re: What's Going on in Europe

Reply #417
What a stupidity.
There's absolutely no relationship between the number of houses and homeless people.

Homeless people are a direct result of no moral economic system, nothing else.
You train and brainwash people for urban life, to be part of a lawless capitalist system in order to make banks to win money and then get surprised that ten or more percent of the population has no place to live.
A matter of attitude.

Re: What's Going on in Europe

Reply #418
What a stupidity.
There's absolutely no relationship between the number of houses and homeless people.

Homeless people are a direct result of no moral economic system, nothing else.
Actually, the relationship between the number of houses and homeless people is that it makes the morality of the socioeconomic system measurable. For whatever reasons, there are homeless people. For whatever other reasons, there are also idle houses. A moral socioeconomic system would be able to lead one to the other to solve the problem of homelessness. A morally indifferent socioeconomic system wouldn't even see a problem.

Re: What's Going on in Europe

Reply #419
Actually, the relationship between the number of houses and homeless people is that it makes the morality of the socioeconomic system measurable.
Is the suicide rate an equally valid measure? :)
How about the abortion rate?
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Re: What's Going on in Europe

Reply #420
Actually, the relationship between the number of houses and homeless people is that it makes the morality of the socioeconomic system measurable.
Is the suicide rate an equally valid measure? :)
How about the abortion rate?
Did you notice how you reduced my point? You employ a good old demagogical trick. My respect when you identify it.

Re: What's Going on in Europe

Reply #421
There may be a positive correlation between suicide rates and happiness. The happier people are, the more people commit suicide. The methodological issues aside, speculation goes that failure to achieve happiness can be more fatal in high-happiness environments, or it may have other mechanisms all together.

Suicide and happiness

Quote
Concluding remarks

The lack of any clear relation between suicide and happiness remains a disturbing and unresolved puzzle. Perhaps it is simply that suicide is hard to explain. But perhaps we should also be cautious giving too much weight to self-reports of life satisfaction.

Incidentally, I would agree that the homes-homeless relationship isn't the best measure of the morality of the socioeconomic system. But it is an indication of society's ability to provide.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JKWC7uy_RB8
Quote
Pipa på hustaket ho e på raus,
en stein ligg i grase og slæng
Torvhaille sprengt sæ, jernan e laus
Tel års så vil torvtaket hæng

Det sku bo folk i husan, husan e som folk
Folk træng hus og hus træng folk i all si tid

Et vindu på sørvæggen slepte inn sola
nu e det åpent førr regn
Når vøta kjæm inn vil det snart komme floa
av råte og mått ifra næraste eng

Det sku bo folk i husan, husan e som folk
Folk træng hus og hus træng folk i all si tid.

Døra mot nord e skjeiv i karmen
førr sylla puin bislaget tærtes bort.
Ingen går inn førr å komme i varmen
I dørlause hus man kjølne fort.

Det sku bo folk i husan, husan e som folk
Folk træng hus og hus træng folk i all si tid.

Grunnmurn e sprukken, hell ikkje stangen
Tela har hevve han opp og ned
Et stormkast blir tel begravelsessangen
Når heile huset går bort - i fred

Det sku bo folk i husan, husan e som folk
Folk træng hus og hus treng folk i all si tid.
(good luck translating Northern Norwegian dialect...)

Re: What's Going on in Europe

Reply #422
Incidentally, I would agree that the homes-homeless relationship isn't the best measure of the morality of the socioeconomic system. But it is an indication of society's ability to provide.
This would make sense if society's ability (and willingness) to provide didn't go under morality. For me it goes. Hospitality is a major moral function.

Re: What's Going on in Europe

Reply #423
It is one thing to provide, not the only thing. And providing is just one of our societal duties. Hospitality is an important value in virtually all human societies, but this isn't hospitality, but shelter. Shelter is pretty crucial in Northern Europe, mind you. No shelter, no Northern Europeans.

Re: What's Going on in Europe

Reply #424
Shelter is pretty crucial in Northern Europe, mind you. No shelter, no Northern Europeans
I doubt you have the full comprehension of your words and yet you are so much true.
I'll resume it for you, no follow the rules and you're death. Northern "civilization" hospitality.
Yep, you can blame the climate for your savagery.
A matter of attitude.