Skip to main content
Topic: Anthropogenic Global Warming (Read 199159 times)

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #675
This from the guy that puts cites poorly written blog posts with incorrect links embedded. Whatever you say, buddy. Oh that's right. It's not credible unless it comes from a Right wing source.  Science journals are not allowed, since they only provide unspun data. Citing actual climatologists is especially not allowed; you need to have social psychology students trying to poke a hole in 97 percent of peer reviewed climate articles support anthropogenic climate change but have his source link merely be a search engine and for him to not tell the reader his search methodology for it to be acceptable. :yes: I got it now :yes: :yes:

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #676
Sang, if you don't know, believe me everyone else does — except perhaps "fellow travelers"! :)

Wouldn't you like to see a "social study" where the political affiliations of the respondents and those of the "raters" were hidden, from the git'go? Of course not! How would you know, then, to interpret the results… It's all politics, for you.
(You repeatedly say it isn't; and then show clearly that it is.)

What study (or group of such) shows that CO2 is anything like a "control knob" on the earth's climate? (That's what the UN and their various agencies proclaim, as justification for assuming control of the world's economy…) You don't know; and I know you can't find out — because I can't, either.

CAGW is a theory in search of a justification — the main one accepted by "true believers" is Social Justice… Doesn't that strike you as not just odd but actually absurd? :) Nah!
进行 ...
"Humor is emotional chaos remembered in tranquility." - James Thurber
"Science is the belief in the ignorance of experts!" - Richard Feynman
 (iBook G4 - Panther | Mac mini i5 - El Capitan)

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #677
I don't do "politically correct" in case you haven't noticed. Frankly, I got tired a long time ago of leftist lies--- sorry, can't call it anything else--- that I am expected to swallow whole and believe because it's "politically correct" to spout that nonsense.

Now that this is out of the way: Highly placed white-horse souses tell me that much of this "climate change" stuff is little more than a wealth-transfer shakedown, where richer nations are expected to give billions to poorer nations. The UN will, of course, oversee the transfer. The check will be in the mail, you can count on it. Would the Nigerian general's wife lie about that?
What would happen if a large asteroid slammed into the Earth?
According to several tests involving a watermelon and a large hammer, it would be really bad!

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #678
So good, so let's reduce vetted empirical data to mere political correctness and some kind of weird theory that it's about wealth transfer from rich nations to developing ones.  And now I get to have Oakdale trying to make me defend a theory that I wasn't even advancing, yet again. You say you don't like political correctness. Fine, let's not be politically correct and say you and Oakdale are quite frankly out of your depths. You get confused by fifth grade level science in not understand the basics of how warmer temperatures could either cause the Antarctic icesheet to increase or decrease (decrease is the easier of the two. The ice melts. Increase because warmer air can hold more water, resulting in more snowfall to be added to the glaciation. Seriously, freakin' elementary school science. ) How's this for not being politically correct? The atmospheric levels of a greenhouse gas increase by this much, so a greenhouse effect occurs? Fucking common sense. The remaining questions are by how much/how fast and what the impacts will be.

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #679
(That's what the UN and their various agencies proclaim, as justification for assuming control of the world's economy…)

UN... worst than CAOS+SPECTRE.  :lol:
Get Smart Oakdale Bond will save us all...
A matter of attitude.

 

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #680
I keep pitching them, you keep ducking them because the politics----..

OK, here comes another one---fast, on the inside---- DUCK!!!

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/11/24/claim-500-million-children-at-risk-from-climate-change/

Side note: I have a couple of blogs that I follow on this subject. Most stuff I would put here comes from WUWT because he does run a scientifically inclined blog, usually backing up what he says with solid data. The other one, I have to say is spotty at best and I have a suspicion he just might be a corporate shill--- much of "Junk Science" seems to make me wonder about that blog.
What would happen if a large asteroid slammed into the Earth?
According to several tests involving a watermelon and a large hammer, it would be really bad!

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #681
This sort of thing seems to have been going on for a while. I always thought (because this is what I learned in history) that WW1 and the armistice that followed-- with its punitive effects on Germany in particular-- followed by a global depression which affected Germany especially hard, helped Hitler attain and then keep power. Nope, I was wrong apparently---- it was global warming. Can't make this stuff up.

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/11/24/the-ultimate-godwin-effect-science-in-1941-global-warming-caused-hitler/
What would happen if a large asteroid slammed into the Earth?
According to several tests involving a watermelon and a large hammer, it would be really bad!

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #682
The other one, I have to say is spotty at best and I have a suspicion he just might be a corporate shill--- much of "Junk Science" seems to make me wonder about that blog.

Here's a little about him.

http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/Anthony_Watts

Quote
Watts is on the payroll of the Heartland Institute, which itself is funded by polluting industries.[1]
And yet Oakdale calls me noting how many of these "skeptic" sites are funded by the very industries threatened by evidence of climate change a conspiracy theory. It really is one after another.

The article notes he's not a scientist and apparently was disingenuous about his credentials and seems to be a college dropout.

Ooops, he founded  SurfaceStations.org in an attempt to prove some global warming isn't global at all but oops:

Quote
Results of analyzing the SurfaceStations data did not match Watts's expectations; a NOAA analysis of the Surface Stations data showed "no indication from this analysis that poor station exposure has imparted a bias in the U.S. temperature trends.
Now it wouldn't be surprising to find Las Vegas (for example) to be warming due to it being a growing city in the desert. In other words, a heat island. But that's not the case everywhere, is it?

Oh dear:

Quote
"Leipzig Declaration" signatory
Anthony Watts is listed as a signatory on the "Leipzig Declaration", which said "there does not exist today a general scientific consensus about the importance of greenhouse warming from rising levels of carbon dioxide. In fact, most climate specialists now agree that actual observations from both weather satellites and balloon-borne radiosondes show no current warming whatsoever."

The signers of the Declaration are described as "climate scientists", although they include 25 weather presenters.[30] An attempt to contact the declaration's 33 European signers found that 4 of them could not be located, 12 denied ever having signed, and some had not even heard of the Leipzig Declaration. Those who verified signing included a medical doctor, a nuclear scientist, and an entomologist. After discounting the signers whose credentials were inflated, irrelevant, false, or unverifiable, only 20 of the names on the list had any scientific connection with the study of climate change, and some of those names were known to have obtained grants from the oil and fuel industry, including the German coal industry and the government of Kuwait (a major oil exporter
Yup, making declarations that there is no consensus and adding signatories without them knowing, getting corporate shills and people with no credentials to sign, and hoping people will confuse weather forecasters for climatologists.

In summary, he has no credibility.

Here's Wottupwiththat , the parody site :)

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #683
You're a hoot, Sang! :)

Where -BTW- are the links to the papers that explain and verify the anthropogenic global warming due to atmospheric CO2…? (Surely, if they exist, someone has collated and published them… No? :) Someone compiled and published the list of "organizations" Belfrager posted. You'd think the actual, you know, science would be easier…? :) Nah! Like-minds are more prevalent, and vocal…) I know you can't give them, because I've looked myself and I can't find them; and I'm actually interested, even to the point of concern!

But the so-called "climate experts" -who have the kind of bone fides you seem to require- don't have scientific arguments supporting their contentions, to my satisfaction.
Not yet. (And much of what I've read disturbs me: These people claim to be "doing" science…) Of course, you can and will ask for my credentials -"Papers, please!"- before considering my estimations; but you won't question your own: Sang, my training is better suited to this topic.

Will you try to smear every one who doesn't toe the CAGW line peddled by the IPCC? Were I a betting man, I'd say yes; that's all you've got…
And you're fond of doubling-down.
(Must be a Las Vegas thing.)

(You can guess what I think of SourceWatch, and even you should know better than to cite them. Go back to ThinkProgress and the HuffPo… They're more honest.
But perhaps that Mad Cow disease got you… :) )
进行 ...
"Humor is emotional chaos remembered in tranquility." - James Thurber
"Science is the belief in the ignorance of experts!" - Richard Feynman
 (iBook G4 - Panther | Mac mini i5 - El Capitan)

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #684
my training is better suited to this topic.

You have no training. Asking for links connecting CO2 to anthropogenic climate change is like asking for some to prove rain comes from clouds at this point. You're scientifically illiterate. You say  "the so-called "climate experts" -who have the kind of bone fides you seem to require- don't have scientific arguments supporting their contentions, to my satisfaction." You can't explain to kindergarteners that the sun is just one of billions of stars to their satisfaction either. The sun is big and yellow and stars are small and white, aren't they?


Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #685
The climatologists do have scientific arguments supporting their contentions — which observation has refuted. For some reason, you don't like that result and, hence, call people (including scientists…) who don't agree with you nasty names.
That's certainly the way we should be doing science! :)
You can't explain to kindergarteners that the sun is just one of billions of stars to their satisfaction either.
Most pre-schoolers aren't as obtuse as you, Sang!

Do you know of even one paper (…you know: published, peer-reviewed) that actually supports your contention — whatever the heck it is? :)
[If it's only: Tesla motors should be allowed to sell cars and solar cells shouldn't be illegal, I'd agree. (Ditto, whatever "green" scheme comes along…) You seem, however, to want something more… Why, I ask, won't you say what that more is?]
—————————————————————————————————————————
On the other topic that seems to interest you more:
You have no training.
I have no certification… Are you really naive enough to equate the two? (A born bureaucrat, I think!)
You're scientifically illiterate.
You're only evidence for this is that I won't accept your unsupported (…scientifically unsupported; but "socially" very popular!) claims about our current understanding of the earth's climate…
Pretty slim evidence, even for a sociology major!
进行 ...
"Humor is emotional chaos remembered in tranquility." - James Thurber
"Science is the belief in the ignorance of experts!" - Richard Feynman
 (iBook G4 - Panther | Mac mini i5 - El Capitan)

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #686
The climatologists do have scientific arguments supporting their contentions — which observation has refuted. For some reason, you don't like that result and, hence, call people (including scientists…) who don't agree with you nasty names.

Refuted? By whom? Anyone can refute anything and be a hundred percent wrong. You do realize this, right? Who factchecks the factcheckers? In the case of anthropogenic climate check, it's the non-anthropogenic theories that have fallen, leaving the "skeptics" (again often paid by the petroleum industry) grasping at dry straws, such as trying to disprove the 97% consensus or other weapons-grade lameness. Alas, the "skeptics" have an easier job. They don't have to prove anything, just plant seeds of doubt in the public's mind.

How much support do you need for the theory, anyway? How many more decades of data is required? What will happen if I finally show you my hand? Will you find an idiotic blog like I just did claiming climatology isn't even a science*, maybe you'll come with a National Review article written by someone as far removed from the field as you or I, or you might even just come up with more banal snark. In short, it's a useless waste of time to give you more support than you've already been offered.

*The blog appears to have been written by an accountant. Again, it's people without credentials in climatology that are the skeptics and not people you would even suspect have any concept of what they're talking about.


Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #687
Proper usage of "your" and "you're" is expected from literate posters.

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #688
All I've seen Midnight do is call people who would DARE to disagree with the "accepted, ancient and true" CAGW names. I begin to suspect--- strongly--- that this is how "97% consensus" came about: Anybody who disagreed was shamed into signing on, and if shame wouldn't work then threats of having funding cut, or even of being driven from the community would surely make the holdouts toe the line. Midnight's efforts here give rise to that idea as it happens.
What would happen if a large asteroid slammed into the Earth?
According to several tests involving a watermelon and a large hammer, it would be really bad!

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #689
Oh please. For of, might I reiterate that I never said 97% was correct. However, the methodology used to attempt to debunk that was worse the methodology used to obtain that figure. It was so bad that at least one skeptic had to redact his counter survey and admit it's the majority opinion of climatologists. The counter studies played fast and loose with the articles they included to the point in which op-ed pieces written by people with no scientific background at all were thrown in as a desperate attempt to arrive at a lower figure.  

As far as losing funding goes, that's just silly. Anthony Watts, a dropout with no credentials at all on the subject, received funding. Climatologists that should be expected to know what they're talking about would have little trouble securing a grant from a group motivated to disprove anthropogenic climate change. Even failing to directly secure a grant, there would still be a market selling the work to conservative/right-wing publications. Nobody is prevented from getting his work published. Unfortunately, the quality of the skeptical studies remains sub-par at this point even relying on outdated and disproven notions.

The skeptics' main culprit for climate change is solar activity. The sun does go through 11 year cycles of increased and decreased activity, That's the average length of cycles, not that every cycle is 11 years. Not a bad notion and it would be silly to dismiss the sun's role in global temperatures. However, before the current period of lower activity, even the sun's activity was insufficient to explain the rise in global temperatures and the temperatures continued to rise even after solar activity decreased. Some tried to point there would be residual heat from the period of increased activity, which is true enough but at the same time silly considering the sun's activity couldn't explain all the global warming when the increased activity period was at it's height. Hence, the best counter-theory is objectively wrong and not for political reasons but scientific ones based on empirical data. The other theory blames cosmic rays, which added a whole 0.07 degrees Celsius to the average global temperature, which amounts to 14%.  So again, we have a natural source of warming but no other explanation missing 86%.  Further, the authors noted that CO2 indeed plays a significant role. There might be other natural causes, but I doubt they'll be able to close that gap. Further, nobody is saying that all climate change is anthropogenic anyway.

Neither of the theories was silenced or excluded from publication and the authors did not have resort right-wing ragpieces. Full Text of the solar activity study in Cambridge Journals And here's the link to the cosmic ray's theory . Who was shamed and driven from the scientific again? As usual, in the scientific world it's about factually correct and incorrect, not about politics. Again, though, the cosmic rays theory isn't incorrect, just insufficient to explain the majority of warming.

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #690
An American discussion...  :zzz:
A matter of attitude.

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #691
Yeah, sorry that's it's boring. It's just that a couple forum members needed to be shown that other theories are given consideration based on scientific merit and nobody is made to "toe the line."

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #692
Aw, do we not have answer to the fact other causes of climate change do get considered? I also wonder how many of the genius skeptics ever, even once, stopped to think that some same scientists they deride for suggesting most of the current climate change is manmade are the very ones that discovered that the climate changed without human intervention in the past. Those folks cleverly suggest there are natural climate cycles. Some of the general public, especially GOPers, consider that a good argument. The rest of roll our eyes and say "No shit, Sherlock. Now where's your data to suggest the current climate change isn't manmade?" and walk away to the sound of crickets. (again though, the cosmic rays guys did have data to say those that not all of what's happening now is anthropogenic and admit to CO2's role)

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #693
Mid, I don't know about how Oakdale feels--- but I've reached the point where ignoring you seems to be the right idea.
What would happen if a large asteroid slammed into the Earth?
According to several tests involving a watermelon and a large hammer, it would be really bad!

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #694
The link below is from a source that certain people here consider "tainted". Go ahead and consider it tainted, you were gonna do that anyway.

It does point out something that I've been saying though: That "97% consensus" might not be quite as firm a number as we are being led to believe. There may be dissension within the ranks--- but those dissenters are told to shut up "or else". The scientist quoted in the link below dared to dissent, and for that she is banished from the climate community. Seems the warmist cult will stand for no questioning their dogma. See below:

http://new.spectator.co.uk/2015/11/i-was-tossed-out-of-the-tribe-climate-scientist-judith-curry-interviewed/
What would happen if a large asteroid slammed into the Earth?
According to several tests involving a watermelon and a large hammer, it would be really bad!

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #695
Ity is a small passing point compared to the global situation but it has just been reported here in Scotland that there still 73 snow patches in northern Scotland from the winter of last year. They did no disappear at all during the summer.
"Quit you like men:be strong"

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #696
The most credentialed "scientist" behind the 97% meme: Cook. He seems to be…literate. But he's shown himself to be scientifically illiterate.
Of course, no one who has any training in science would have accepted that "97%" meme; consensus means nothing, to science — but much to scientism, and career advancement! :)
Yet many (…you know who you are!) repeat it, despite its illegitimacy.
Why?
Well, there actually is an overwhelming political agenda: World government, and -perhaps- the demise of capitalism.
This, of course, sounds like a "conspiracy theory" and rightly so! But it's been a goal of so many groups for so many years that their persistent connivance and support of the CAGW crusade seems merely the next stage of their battle…

The sociology is fascinating! (The lack of interest of qualified sociologists is, too!)
进行 ...
"Humor is emotional chaos remembered in tranquility." - James Thurber
"Science is the belief in the ignorance of experts!" - Richard Feynman
 (iBook G4 - Panther | Mac mini i5 - El Capitan)

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #697
Well, there actually is an overwhelming political agenda: World government, and -perhaps- the demise of capitalism.
This, of course, sounds like a "conspiracy theory" and rightly so! But it's been a goal of so many groups for so many years that their persistent connivance and support of the CAGW crusade seems merely the next stage of their battle…

Saying such things doesn't really suits you well Oakdale...

The "overwhelming political agenda" is indeed overwhelming but not political, by the contrary, is a matter of changing energetic paradigms. It's a matter of changing from a model based on finite and polluting resources that leads inexorably to higher and higher costs and an increasing fight for such resources to a model where energy is free but to the technology costs that decreases year after year. Limitless energy for all. Without polluting.

What part is so difficult to you to understand? It turns evident who has and defends a mere political agenda.
A matter of attitude.

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #698
You know what guys? I've had it. Why do I keep getting accused of personal attacks? And now I'm going to be ignored? For what? I said:

Quote
Oh please. For of, might I reiterate that I never said 97% was correct. However, the methodology used to attempt to debunk that was worse the methodology used to obtain that figure. It was so bad that at least one skeptic had to redact his counter survey and admit it's the majority opinion of climatologists. The counter studies played fast and loose with the articles they included to the point in which op-ed pieces written by people with no scientific background at all were thrown in as a desperate attempt to arrive at a lower figure.  

As far as losing funding goes, that's just silly. Anthony Watts, a dropout with no credentials at all on the subject, received funding. Climatologists that should be expected to know what they're talking about would have little trouble securing a grant from a group motivated to disprove anthropogenic climate change. Even failing to directly secure a grant, there would still be a market selling the work to conservative/right-wing publications. Nobody is prevented from getting his work published. Unfortunately, the quality of the skeptical studies remains sub-par at this point even relying on outdated and disproven notions.

The skeptics' main culprit for climate change is solar activity. The sun does go through 11 year cycles of increased and decreased activity, That's the average length of cycles, not that every cycle is 11 years. Not a bad notion and it would be silly to dismiss the sun's role in global temperatures. However, before the current period of lower activity, even the sun's activity was insufficient to explain the rise in global temperatures and the temperatures continued to rise even after solar activity decreased. Some tried to point there would be residual heat from the period of increased activity, which is true enough but at the same time silly considering the sun's activity couldn't explain all the global warming when the increased activity period was at it's height. Hence, the best counter-theory is objectively wrong and not for political reasons but scientific ones based on empirical data. The other theory blames cosmic rays, which added a whole 0.07 degrees Celsius to the average global temperature, which amounts to 14%.  So again, we have a natural source of warming but no other explanation missing 86%.  Further, the authors noted that CO2 indeed plays a significant role. There might be other natural causes, but I doubt they'll be able to close that gap. Further, nobody is saying that all climate change is anthropogenic anyway.

Neither of the theories was silenced or excluded from publication and the authors did not have resort right-wing ragpieces. Full Text of the solar activity study in Cambridge Journals And here's the link to the cosmic ray's theory . Who was shamed and driven from the scientific again? As usual, in the scientific world it's about factually correct and incorrect, not about politics. Again, though, the cosmic rays theory isn't incorrect, just insufficient to explain the majority of warming.


Where am I personally attacking any forum member? The thrust of the post was discussing other theories that had been considered.

Quote
Aw, do we not have answer to the fact other causes of climate change do get considered? I also wonder how many of the genius skeptics ever, even once, stopped to think that some same scientists they deride for suggesting most of the current climate change is manmade are the very ones that discovered that the climate changed without human intervention in the past. Those folks cleverly suggest there are natural climate cycles. Some of the general public, especially GOPers, consider that a good argument. The rest of roll our eyes and say "No shit, Sherlock. Now where's your data to suggest the current climate change isn't manmade?" and walk away to the sound of crickets. (again though, the cosmic rays guys did have data to say those that not all of what's happening now is anthropogenic and admit to CO2's role)
Again, where am I personally attacking at forum member?

By the way, I did see that since deleted post of Oakdale's accusing me racism for not accepting Duarte's blog post. I wasn't gonna bring that up, but my hand was forced by you guys acting like I'm the nasty one.

Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming

Reply #699

Ity is a small passing point compared to the global situation but it has just been reported here in Scotland that there still 73 snow patches in northern Scotland from the winter of last year. They did no disappear at all during the summer.


I just read a report that some of those patches have been there since 1994. OK, far enough North, maybe in shady spots and so on---- so that's two reports I've seen of this counting yours.
What would happen if a large asteroid slammed into the Earth?
According to several tests involving a watermelon and a large hammer, it would be really bad!